Third Millennium Thinking, Saul Perlmutter
Third Millennium Thinking, Saul Perlmutter
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Third Millennium Thinking
Creating Sense in a World of Nonsense

Author: Saul Perlmutter, John Campbell, Robert MacCoun

Narrator: Joe Paulino

Unabridged: 11 hr 10 min

Format: Digital Audiobook Download

Published: 03/26/2024

Includes: Bonus Material Bonus Material Included

Synopsis

Based on a wildly popular UC Berkeley course, a primer on how to think critically, make sound decisions, and solve problems—individually and collectively—using scientists’ tricks of the trade.

In our deluge of information, it's getting harder and harder to distinguish the revelatory from the contradictory. How do we make health decisions in the face of conflicting medical advice? Does that article on GMOs even show what the authors claim? How can we navigate the next Thanksgiving discussion with our in-laws, who follow completely different experts on climate?
 
In Third Millennium Thinking, a physicist, a psychologist, and a philosopher introduce readers to the tools and frameworks that scientists have developed to keep from fooling themselves, to understand the world, and to make decisions. We can all borrow these trust-building techniques to tackle problems both big and small.
 
Readers will learn: How to achieve a ground-level understanding of the facts of the modern world How to chart a course through a profusion of possibilities   How to work together to take on the challenges we face today And much more  
Using provocative thought exercises, jargon-free language, and vivid illustrations drawn from history, daily life, and scientists’ insider stories, Third Millennium Thinking offers a novel approach for readers to make sense of the nonsense.

Reviews

Goodreads review by Chris on June 15, 2024

This book is on an insanely important topic, which is becoming a better thinker. The authors include a physicist, a psychologist, and a philosopher, so I was pretty excited to check this book out. Now, as I give my review of this book, just know that it’s insanely bias because I read a ton of books......more

Goodreads review by Dustin on April 11, 2024

This book is very important for modern world. This gave great tools and information to aid in critical thinking and analysis in a world full of misinformation and disinformation. Highly recommend.......more

Goodreads review by Florent on August 20, 2024

A handy guide on how to apply scientific thinking in your day to day reflections, in order to reduce bias, deal with disinformation and make better predictions. Best take away for me: thinking in terms of probability instead of binary and always thinks about why you can be right, but also how you can......more

Goodreads review by Charles on June 24, 2024

85% A book focused on training people to act and think logically and with reasoning especially in our extremely powerfully resourced environment? Yes please. A bit lacking in practical application in day-to-day life but there are some great intentions here and this book was executed greatly.......more

Goodreads review by Angie on February 29, 2024

A physicist, a philosopher, and a psychologist walk into a bar…. That is what my husband said when I told him about this book and its authors. I don’t know exactly what inspired the authors of this book to pool their expertise to recommend tools to help us address the challenges of today’s world, bu......more

Quotes

“A model of clear thinking, and a terrific discussion of how to use logic and evidence to solve the hardest problems. This might just be the cure for what ails us.”—Cass R. Sunstein, Robert Walmsley University Professor, Harvard University, and author of Decisions About Decisions

“If our species is to stagger through another millennium, we need to get better at thinking about how we think—and conducting high-stakes debates more intelligently. This book lays out, with superb clarity, the path forward.”—Philip E. Tetlock, author of Superforecasting

“This is a wonderful book for anyone interested in how best to navigate our complex world of information overload. Engagingly and informatively, it emphasizes how processes used in the practice of science can provide widely-applicable tools for approaching individual and collective decision-making. A truly valuable resource for taking on the challenges facing our species and the planet.”—Elizabeth Blackburn, PhD, Nobel Prize winner and coauthor of The Telomere Effect

"A physicist, a philosopher, and a psychologist walk into a book, and mix an inviting cocktail about how to think through big problems and make effective decisions in a Third Millennium age of overwhelming, complex, and contradictory information. A must read for anyone who needs to make expert judgments without being experts themselves."—David Dunning, Professor of Psychology at the University of Michigan and discoverer of the Dunning-Kruger Effect

“In a world filled with uncertainty and fractured by polarization, this guide to critical thinking couldn’t come at a better time. A Nobel laureate physicist, an influential philosopher, and an expert on legal psychology reveal how you can use the tools of science in everyday life to make smarter judgments and wiser decisions.”—Adam Grant, #1 New York Times bestselling author of Think Again and Hidden Potential, and host of the podcast Re:Thinking

“Third Millennium Thinking offers a roadmap for making more effective decisions in an increasingly complex and noisy world. If you could only read one book about how to think more clearly, make it this one.”—Annie Duke, author of Thinking in Bets

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